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In an world with 9 billion inter-connected people, power will come from creating peace, prosperity and freedom and this will require breakthroughs in how we live, enabled by a transformation in the very definition of power itself

The Frontline

Featured : Addressing India’s Literacy Challenge A brief discussion with Sourav Banerjee, India Country Director for Room to Read, a global non-profit organisation whose mission is to tackle the problem of childhood literacy across the developing world

Addressing India’s Literacy Challenge

The Sign of the Times has written extensively about the importance of education and skill development for India to fully realise its demographic advantage and thereby achieve economic development. Approximately a quarter of India’s population is illiterate, and by virtue of its sheer size, India has the largest illiterate population in the world, accounting for c.40% of the world’s illiterate population. This is disproportionately skewed towards women and girls, approximately a third of whom lack even basic literacy skills, and has therefore limited women’s ability to choose how they participate in the economy.

Addressing India’s literacy and education challenges, along with the large gender gap, clearly requires transformative solutions. In this context, Greater Pacific Capital talks to Sourav Banerjee, Country Director for Room to Read in India. Room to Read is a global non-profit organisation whose mission is to tackle the problem of childhood literacy across the developing world.

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Revolution and Information Revolution

Revolution and the Information Revolution

A brief discussion with Jon Miller, the former Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Digital Media Group and Chief Digital Officer for News Corporation.

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Reflections on India in the BRICs; Who You Calling a BRIC?

Reflections on India and the BRICS; who you calling a BRIC

Interview with and article by Jim O’Neill, the former chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management who coined the term “BRICS”.

Frontline 3

Interpreting Gandhi’s Principles of Non-Violence for Today’s World

Interpreting Gandhi’s Principles of Non-Violence for Today’s World

Lecture by Rajni Bakshi, Gandhi Peace Fellow at Gateway House: Indian Council on Global Relations

Archived Articles

Pointing to the Future in February 2017

 

Can the New U.S. Ambassador to China See Xi Jinping for Who He Really Is?  Branstad could well work to get Washington to go easy on his “old friend” Xi, yet given this strongman’s recent track record, the beneficiary of the Iowan’s efforts would not be the “Chinese people” to whom he is allegedly an “old friend,” but just one unusually powerful member of that massive and diverse group.

The Twilight of the Liberal World Order.  Robert Kagan bemoans the twilight of the liberal world order and provides a prescription for American maintaining its global leadership

World Order 2.0.  Richard Haas, the President of the Council on Foreign Relations envisages a world and a world order defined by sovereign obligations of states to its citizens and to each other

The Rules of the Brave New Cyberworld.  Governments need to adapt traditional concepts and tools of statecraft to the digital age, by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

The Internet Whole and Free.   Foreign Affairs finds that Washington was right to give up control internet governance body ICANN, arguing that it has improved openness, diversity and resilience

Eyes Wide Shut: Russia’s Hybrid Warfare and Western Vulnerabilities.  The Georgetown Journal of International Affairs on Russia’s asymmetric security strategy and its risks to the West

The Art of a China Deal.  Trump should know that he is about to be seriously outsmarted by a country that has been spectacularly outmaneuvering American policymakers and businesses for at least a decade. While China concentrates on the industries needed for 2030 and beyond, Trump’s China trade policies are better suited for the 1950s

Trump’s China Challenge.  In any case, as China continues to pursue its hegemonic ambitions, Trump will have little choice but to pivot toward Asia – substantively, not just rhetorically, as Obama did

How Can China Avoid “Kindleberger Trap”?  With the Trump-era US possibly pulling back from the global governance regime in 2017, China, as an important player in global governance, faces a difficult strategic choice: To dance to the US’ tune and reply with similar national egoism, or to contribute more public goods to global governance in fields where the US withdraws

China’s Youth Are Getting Less Nationalistic, Not More.  Western coverage frequently asserts that pressure from this rising nationalism has obliged the Chinese government to craft its foreign policy accordingly. But a new paper published by Alastair Iain Johnston from Harvard University, suggests reports of rising Chinese nationalism may be off the mark in several important ways

Delhi, Tokyo, Canberra.  New coalitions like India, Japan and Australia will still lack sufficient weight to balance China on their own. But in developing an agency of its own and taking a larger share of the burden of Asian security, the India-Japan-Australia coalition will send strong messages to both China and the United States

Shouldn’t Political Parties Have a Succession Plan?  The lack of a succession plan in politics encourages the creation of a coterie around the supreme leader or an extended family network around the incumbent

India in Need of a Two-speed Economy.  India needs a two-speed economy for both economic and political reasons. Economically, the boost in domestic consumption will lead to faster growth, which will help make up for the slow speed of the positive impact of structural reforms like GST and demonetization. Politically, it will help cushion the short-term pain and make it easier for the government to continue its reform agenda

India’s Trade Policy Dilemma and the Role of Domestic Reform.  If India is to become a major trading nation, it must adopt a positive trade policy agenda, adjust to global trade standards, and boost its manufacturing sector

India’s Reform Scorecard.  Dynamic micro-site by the Center for Strategic and International Studies that scores progress of the Modi government’s reform programmes


In an world with 9 billion inter-connected people, power will come from creating peace, prosperity and freedom and this will require breakthroughs in how we live, enabled by a transformation in the very definition of power itself


Power Stabilized Through Stages of Development

Power and Interdependence

historical-real-gdf-growth-by-sector

historical-real-gdf-growth-by-sector

Power's Rise and Fall

historical-real-gdf-growth-by-sector

Looking at the rise and fall of past empires we can see that these movements, although they unfolded over different periods of time, follow a pattern. They were rarely instantaneous and that declines, absent catastrophic disruptions, generally occurred over prolonged periods

Source: Greater Pacific Capital, Sign of the Times, June 2012, Previousl Source: Greater Pacific's work on "The Gap Years"

historical-real-gdf-growth-by-sector

Barring a catastrophic disruptive event (which is not impossible given what we have witnessed since the turn of this century), American power is set to remain the most powerful force in the world for a long time to come

Source: Greater Pacific Capital, Sign of the Times, June 2012, Previousl Source: Greater Pacific's work on "The Gap Years