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In a world with 9 billion inter-connected people, power will come from creating peace, prosperity and freedom and this will require breakthroughs in how we live, enabled by a transformation in the very definition of power itself



THE WORLD AND THE FUTURE

The Shape of the World to Come – Part III: The Path to a New World Order
The Shape of the World to Come – Part III: The Path to a New World Order

The third part of our series on the Shape of the World to Come attempts to describe the transition to and the shape of the New World Order.  In this undertaking, we examine the opportunity for a peaceful transition to the future and the potential for a violent one.

The Shape of the World to Come – Part II:  The Key Challenges Facing the World
The Shape of the World to Come – Part II: The Key Challenges Facing the World

The second part of our series on the Shape of the World to Come presents the big issues that are driving people to support more extreme positions at the electoral box.  These issues might not only undermine some of the important progress achieved but also set the path for a new world order to emerge from conflict and competition.

The Shape of the World to Come – Part I: How the World is Progressing
The Shape of the World to Come – Part I: How the World is Progressing

In the first of a three part series on the Shape of the World to Come the Sign looks at the key elements of progress made globally.  Despite the challenges facing the world today, we live in a time of unprecedented progress and improving lives across a number of critical dimensions.

The US Election in Context – We Live in Revolutionary Times: The Prelude to the New World Order
The US Election in Context – We Live in Revolutionary Times: The Prelude to the New World Order

Both the Trump and Brexit votes have taken place within the context of revolutionary history. Looking ahead there is the potential for more revolutions to come, with significant implications for the world.

South China Seas: With Greater Power Comes Greater Responsibility
South China Seas: With Greater Power Comes Greater Responsibility

The ruling by the international tribunal in the Hague on the South China Seas dispute between the Philippines and China has significant potential security implications.  If not well handled, the ruling bears wide ranging risks for China on sovereignty disputes with India, Japan and almost all its neighbours and in domestic matters too.

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FROM THE FRONTLINE OF CHANGE

Featured : Addressing India’s Literacy Challenge A brief discussion with Sourav Banerjee, India Country Director for Room to Read, a global non-profit organisation whose mission is to tackle the problem of childhood literacy across the developing world

Addressing India’s Literacy Challenge

The Sign of the Times has written extensively about the importance of education and skill development for India to fully realise its demographic advantage and thereby achieve economic development. Approximately a quarter of India’s population is illiterate, and by virtue of its sheer size, India has the largest illiterate population in the world, accounting for c.40% of the world’s illiterate population. This is disproportionately skewed towards women and girls, approximately a third of whom lack even basic literacy skills, and has therefore limited women’s ability to choose how they participate in the economy.

Addressing India’s literacy and education challenges, along with the large gender gap, clearly requires transformative solutions. In this context, Greater Pacific Capital talks to Sourav Banerjee, Country Director for Room to Read in India. Room to Read is a global non-profit organisation whose mission is to tackle the problem of childhood literacy across the developing world.

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Image 5 The Frontline

Revolution and Information Revolution

Revolution and the Information Revolution

A brief discussion with Jon Miller, the former Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Digital Media Group and Chief Digital Officer for News Corporation.

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Reflections on India in the BRICs; Who You Calling a BRIC?

Reflections on India and the BRICS; who you calling a BRIC

Interview with and article by Jim O’Neill, the former chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management who coined the term “BRICS”.

Frontline 3

Interpreting Gandhi’s Principles of Non-Violence for Today’s World

Interpreting Gandhi’s Principles of Non-Violence for Today’s World

Lecture by Rajni Bakshi, Gandhi Peace Fellow at Gateway House: Indian Council on Global Relations

Archived Articles

Pointing to the Future in February 2019

Ghosts of History: Lessons for US-China Trade War.  The rivalry between China and the United States in the twenty-first century holds an uncanny resemblance to that between Germany and Great Britain in the nineteenth. There are various similarities between the two sets of rivalries primarily meant to dominate the world economy.

A Crisis Is a Terrible Thing to Waste.  The U.S.-China bilateral relationship is the most consequential in the world, and the United States and China are the two most significant actors on the international stage. At the same time, China has transformed itself from a weak, poor, divided country into America’s most formidable strategic competitor.

How Europe Will Try to Dodge the US–China Standoff.  While Europeans are increasingly sceptical about the Chinese leadership’s goals and methods, they do not share the Trump administration’s determination to stem China’s rise; and they do not want to find themselves trapped on one side of a new political-economic cold war.

Engaging Trump’s America.  India has so far been relatively insulated from US President Donald Trump’s mercurial trade and foreign policy, but the larger problems posed by his approach to global politics will inevitably impinge on ties with India.

India’s Alliances and Strategic Autonomy.  The Indian foreign policy debate would be less metaphysical if it stops obsessing about “non-alignment” and “strategic autonomy” and starts focusing on partnerships and coalitions — against current and potential threats.

Capital and Digitalpolitik in India.  As India copes with the new imperatives of governing the digital age, any sensible policy will have to navigate the tensions between state and the citizen, capital and the consumer, public good and private gain and between competing interests within capital — both domestic and foreign.

Time to Redo FDI in E-Commerce in India.  The government chose to endorse the marketplace model inspired by concern for the well-being of shopkeepers and small retailers. However, with each new iteration of the e-commerce regulations, the industry will find newer and more convoluted ways to fit its businesses into the regulatory requirements.

A Rough Road Ahead For Xi.  With a slowing economy, slump in trade imports and exports providing the impetus for social instability, long feared by the party, 2019 may prove to be the greatest challenge to date for Xi’s leadership.

A Makeover for Chinese Macroeconomic Policy.  Although a slowdown was inevitable in China after four decades of growth, the Chinese government need to stop further deceleration this year. Otherwise, China’s economic, financial, and social stability will be jeopardized.

China Can No Longer Afford an Indecisive Approach to Economic Reform.  After a tumultuous 2018, during which China found itself fighting an economic slowdown coupled with an unexpected and enduring trade war, the country must continue to reform to be better prepared to handle the highs and lows of the chosen economic development model.

How India’s Economy Smoothly Navigated Troubled Waters.  Despite adverse external factors through the year, combined with the domestic challenges, India remained the fastest growing major economy in the world.

Bolsonaro and Brazil’s China Dilemma.  Brazil’s relations with China were lauded as the key to modernizing and placing Brazil on firm footing, as long as China’s economy grew and created demand for its exports. However, there is a concern that Bolsonaro, like his U.S. counterpart, will take a more hostile view of economic relations with China.

Russia and China Look for More Korean Gains.  Notwithstanding the improvement in North Korea’s (DPRK) ties with the USA as well as the Republic of Korea (ROK), China and Russia remain their best foreign friends and developments over the last year have led to both countries becoming more optimistic and seeing opportunities for regional gains.

Apple’s Chinese Slowdown Spells Trouble for the Global Economy.  Apple’s failure to meet sales expectations in China, along with other warning signs, suggests that the Chinese economy is slowing down. And as China acted as one of the main engines of the global post-2008 recovery, this spells trouble for the global economy.